Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000700 0.000796 0.000897 0.001011 0.001137 0.001270 0.001423
2025-09-14 0.000548 0.000680 0.000828 0.001007 0.001216 0.001451 0.001734
2025-09-21 0.000461 0.000607 0.000780 0.000996 0.001259 0.001564 0.001943
2025-09-28 0.000391 0.000544 0.000732 0.000978 0.001285 0.001653 0.002122
2025-10-05 0.000355 0.000518 0.000725 0.001003 0.001360 0.001798 0.002369
2025-10-12 0.000323 0.000492 0.000714 0.001021 0.001424 0.001930 0.002600
2025-10-19 0.000286 0.000456 0.000686 0.001012 0.001451 0.002012 0.002770
2025-10-26 0.000254 0.000423 0.000658 0.001000 0.001472 0.002085 0.002928
2025-11-02 0.000233 0.000403 0.000647 0.001010 0.001520 0.002194 0.003133
2025-11-09 0.000212 0.000381 0.000630 0.001009 0.001552 0.002281 0.003312
2025-11-16 0.000185 0.000348 0.000595 0.000980 0.001542 0.002310 0.003411
2025-11-23 0.000163 0.000319 0.000564 0.000954 0.001534 0.002340 0.003511
2025-11-30 0.000148 0.000301 0.000548 0.000951 0.001560 0.002419 0.003681
2025-12-07 0.000135 0.000285 0.000535 0.000950 0.001589 0.002501 0.003858
2025-12-14 0.000121 0.000267 0.000516 0.000938 0.001601 0.002559 0.004002
2025-12-21 0.000107 0.000248 0.000494 0.000921 0.001602 0.002601 0.004122
2025-12-28 0.000102 0.000244 0.000498 0.000945 0.001667 0.002737 0.004379
2026-01-04 0.000097 0.000238 0.000498 0.000962 0.001722 0.002859 0.004619
2026-01-11 0.000087 0.000225 0.000483 0.000953 0.001736 0.002920 0.004770
2026-01-18 0.000079 0.000212 0.000467 0.000942 0.001744 0.002972 0.004909
2026-01-25 0.000074 0.000205 0.000463 0.000952 0.001786 0.003076 0.005126
2026-02-01 0.000068 0.000196 0.000454 0.000951 0.001811 0.003154 0.005306
2026-02-08 0.000059 0.000180 0.000430 0.000923 0.001789 0.003159 0.005375